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Week 7 - Game writeups

   
 
Arizona (5-1) @ Los Angeles (N) 4-2
First meeting of the season between these two teams, who split the season series last year and gave the Rams their only season loss.  Arizona could put a bit of distance between themselves and LA with a win, while a loss would give the Rams the lead by virtue of H2H nearing the halfway point in the season.  I've learned from experience that every time that I have gone against Kenny, I ended up with egg on my face, and I would rather be in the situation where my game pick is wrong, but I ended up winning the game.  Yes, it's odd logic, but I stand by it.  Arizona 31 - Los Angeles (N) 32
 
   
 
Indianapolis (2-4) @ Pittsburgh (1-5)
The Colts have had a brutal schedule so far, and have lost some nailbiters; this last week, they were tied with the Cards going into the 4th quarter before seeing the wheels fall off, and witnessing a record day by Tannehill.  Now Indy enters a part of their schedule which, on paper, favors them and should allow them to start to right the ship.  While the top 4 teams in the AFC seem fairly set and someone will survive to take the West, there will be a mad dash for that last playoff spot, and Indy is as well placed as any team to get it.  The Steelers, on the other hand, gave a late scare to the Chargers, so the tradition of playing to the final whistle is still alive and well in the Steel City.  The Colts just have too much D on paper, so they should get back to within a game of .500.  Indianapolis 28 - Pittsburgh 17
 
   
 
Philadelphia (3-3) @ Los Angeles (A) (3-3)
Since the preseason, I've written where the Chargers should be in the thick of the playoff race in the NFC, and this is a game that will help determine just how close they are.  The winner of this game gets an all important tie-breaker come playoff time, and Rick has won this league before, so his coaching credentials are established.  Daniel will need to bring his A-game against a tough Eagle squad who got back into the NFC East race with a win in last week's "Main" event.  On paper this should be a great game, but I was born in Missouri and thus, need to see the Chargers win a tough one before annointing them over a previous PAFL champion.  Philadelphia 28 - Los Angeles (A) 24
 
   
 
Cleveland (6-0) @ Miami (1-5)
At the beginning of this season, I thought Miami would be trending near the leaders of the AFC East, but instead find themselves battling with the rebuilding Saints for the basement.  Last week, the Fins took one on the chin against the Bills, and their prospects don't look all that much better against the unbeaten Browns.  With as much talent as Stan his in his front 7, I don't see how Miami manages to put up much of a fight, and with Jacksonville on deck, the draft looms bright in South Beach's future.  Cleveland 31 - Miami 10
 
   
 
Dallas (5-1) @ Detroit (3-3)
Dallas got their first shutout of the season last week against the offensively challenged Falcons, and continue their resurgence as they lead the NFC East.  The Lions have cooled off from their hot start, but will find it tough to get things back going again against a Cowboy team that held the ball for 41 minutes last game.  I seriously doubt that Dallas will be that efficient this week, but should be able to gut out a win over Detroit, and before facing the Bills and Browns the next two weeks respectively.  Dallas 28 - Detroit 24
 
   
 
Cincinnati (5-1) @ New Orleans (2-4)
Cincy currently has the biggest lead of any team in their respective division, whereas Don has led the rebuilding Saints to a couple of very nice wins so far.  Yes, I think the Bengals will win, but I also think that New Orleans might be poised to keep it alot closer than many will predict.  The Saints were only down by 10 entering the 4th against the Jags, so it would be wise for Nino not to take this one for granted.  Still.... Cincinnati 28 - New Orleans 21
 
   
 
Green Bay  (3-3) @ Tampa Bay (0-6)
Green Bay feel into a 5-way tie for the last playoff spot in the NFC, though there is a whole lot of season left to play; so far, the Packers have managed to win those games they should and have lost games they weren't favored in, so they appear to be on course.  The Bucs, while making strides forward, simply aren't in the same league as Green Bay, though their reward will most likely come around draft time.  Green Bay 31 - Tampa Bay 14
 
   
 
Denver (3-3) @ Seattle (0-6)
Don's subbing has managed to keep the Broncos afloat and add some semblance of normality in the world that is the AFC West, whereas the Seahawks decided to give the Browns a game and came within 25 minutes of pulling off the biggest upset in seasons.  While the world that is DKS gives us moments like that, things usually tend to gravitate to where they should be, and Denver is slowly sliding back to their spot near the top of the division.  Seattle has new ownership and a new vibe, and times look good for the 12's...in the long run.  Denver 34 - Seattle 17
 
   
 
Kansas City (2-4) @ Tennessee (2-4)
Two teams with the same record, but with entirely different outlooks coming into this season, Kansas City has done a remarkable job so far, with Paul keeping his Chiefs competitive despite some talent deficiencies.  Tennessee, on the other hand, has had a tough early schedule, and is looking to claw back into the playoff race.  Tennessee should be able to get a game closer to .500, though next week Mark travels to Cleveland to take on the Browns.  That last wild card spot will be competitive for sure, though eventually the Titans will have to get past the Colts in the rematch if they realistically want to extend their season.  Kansas City 17 - Tennessee 24  
 
   
Carolina (1-5) @ Washington (2-4)
Both of these teams are looking for better days next season, though Carolina can still look back on their lone upset win.  Washington has been in nearly every game so far this season, so this game presents quite the quandry...bank on the high end win that the Panthers have managed, or the consistent effort the Commanders have shown throughout the season.  I am inclined to go with Andy and Washington, by ever the slightest of margins, mainly since they are at home, and just how tough they have been so far throughout the season.  That said, all bets are off if Mahomes goes Mahomes.  Carolina 21 - Washington 24
 
   
 
New York (N) (4-2) @ Atlanta (0-6)
So far, the season for the Giants has gone pretty much as expected, though their nail-biter against Washington certainly added a bit of spice to their season.  The NFC East appears will go down to the end of the season, but in the meantime, they get a bit of a reprieve against the Falcons, who will be hard-pressed to do alot against the stiff New York defense.  Starting next week the Giants start a run of games that will test them as they will have their work cut out for them.  New York 28 - Atlanta 7
 
   
 
Minnesota (3-3) @ San Francisco (3-3)
Two teams that are looking to continue working towards the final playoff spot in their respective conferences, and who have had mixed results in their seasons so far.  The Vikings have a history of being in the playoffs, and have never had a losing season, while the 49ers have managed to maximize their talent and stay relevant for the playoffs the last 2 seasons.  This should be a close game, but I am going with Eric to start to assert himself and try to claim that last spot.  Minnesota 27 - San Francisco 24
 
   
 
Chicago (6-0) @ Las Vegas (3-3)
The Bears have kinda been on cruise control the last couple of weeks, so this poses to be a game that might test their metal as the Raiders have been surging just a bit as of late.  One could argue that Las Vegas could be leading their division if luck had gone their way the first 3 games, though nobody has really challenged Chicago as Calvin is pushing the repeat button hard.  Do I think this will be a good game - yes.  Can I predict the Bears first loss - sorry, not able to go there.  Chicago 31 - Las Vegas 28
 
   
 
Buffalo (6-0) @ Jacksonville (6-0)
Definitely the game I will be watching this week, as someone is destined to fall from the ranks of the unbeaten.  My earlier concerns about Buffalo still stand; will they be able to parlay a great defense and running attack without the threat of a significant passing game?  Will Jacksonville be able to take on the top-ranked CB's that Buffalo has and put up enough points to overtake the Bills?  If Buffalo can run the ball against the Jags and mix in just enough passing to keep them guessing, then all bets are off, but as of now, I have to tip my cap towards the Jags, who are just a bit better rounded IMO.  Buffalo 24 - Jacksonville 27
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Posted on 09 Feb 2023 by Joe - Arizona

 

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