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Week 5 - Game Write-ups

Back in the chair after several weeks of dealing with a leg infection that pretty much sapped my strength; also, thank you for those of you who reached after the passing of my mother...one of the great things about APCFB is the brotherhoods that develop over time. That said.... Los Angeles (N) (3-1) @ Indianapolis (2-2) The Rams go into Indy with a 3-1 record and a whole lot of questions; while they have done a decent job offensively, it should be noted that 2 of their 3 wins have come against teams with a combined 0-8 record. Indy meanwhile has 1 solid loss, 1 solid win, and two nail biters, with only a last second TD pass from Russell Wilson keeping them from being 3-1 as well. This should be a fun, tight game, but in the end I’m going to give the nod to the home team, if ever so slightly. Los Angeles (N) 27 – Indianapolis 28 Jacksonville (4-0) @ Cincinnati (4-0) Jacksonville was the busy team prior to the trade deadline, managing to acquire Tyreek Hill but also giving up picks and Chris Godwin in the process. Cincy meanwhile, has gone from the “rebuilding” off-season to acquire future picks, while at the same time darting off to a 2 game lead in the AFC Central. The come-from-behind win by the Bengals may end up being huge at the end of the season, but for the time being, the Jags are for real, and are one of the top contenders in the AFC. This looks like the GOTW, and while it should be close, I think the Jags have just a bit more talent and should squeeze out this close game. Jacksonville 31 – Cincinnati 28 Denver (1-3) @ Minnesota (2-2) Both teams have played under expectations so far this season, adding a bit of gravitas to this game. Denver has had a tough schedule so far, as have the Vikings, and both teams are uncharacteristically in the middle of the pack offensively. This should be a close game, and whichever team adopts a “no risk it, no biscuit” approach and plays aggressively should pull out the win. I’m giving the ever so slight edge to Minnesota, since they have home field, and the Broncos are being subbed for at the moment. Denver 29 – Minnesota 31 Cleveland (4-0) @ Pittsburgh (1-3) Both teams have pretty much met expectations so far this season, much to the chagrin of the Steeler Nation; while Pittsburgh lost the TOP battle by almost 15 minutes last week against the Fins, the Browns bring a level of D that might make it at least that bad. Better days are coming for Pitt, but that won’t score any points this week (RIP Pete). Cleveland 34 – Pittsburgh 14 Tennessee (1-3) @ Miami (1-3) While both of these teams have the same record, they have gotten there with greatly different stories; the Titans have had a brutal schedule so far, while Miami managed to get their first win last week against the Steelers. This game takes on added importance since a Titans loss could put them in a hole they won’t be able to climb out of; fortunately, I think Tennessee has enough bullets in their gun (and with their defense) to get them over the Dolphins this week. Tennessee 27 – Miami 21 Dallas (3-1) @ Philadelphia (2-2) Another game that has early playoff ramifications; Dallas was rolling along with a 3-0 record, and was shocked by Carolina in one of the biggest upsets so far this season. Meanwhile, the Eagles met the juggernaut that has been the AFC East and suffered a couple of tough losses against the Browns and Jags. The main question will be whether the Cowboys have the defense to contain a good Eagles offense, and whether Dallas can run the ball against Philly. This should be a fascinating game, but if I have to choose, I’m going with the Eagles, just because of a bit better balance. Dallas 27 – Philadelphia 31 Buffalo (4-0) @ New Orleans (2-2) This game has already been played before the official start of the “week”, but pretty much went to how I thought it would go. New Orleans should sip their upset champagne against the 49ers ever so slowly, and try to make it last; may be Bud Light going forward. Chicago (4-0) @ Tampa Bay (0-4) Chicago is continuing their roll through opponents much as they had last season, while Tampa continues their rebuild. The Bucs will have their work cut out for them, and I’m not sure even the DKS gods can sway this one. Chicago 35 – Tampa Bay 14 Carolina (1-3) @ Green Bay (2-2) The Panthers pulled off one of the more impressive upset wins so far this season, but now face a team that has done a decent job meeting their preseason expectations. The Packers are a team that needs to win every game they are supposed to, and a couple others, in order to make the playoffs, while Doug continues his rebuild of Carolina. Wouldn’t be shocking to see Mahomes lead Carolina to an upset win…just not going to predict it. Carolina 23 – Green Bay 27 Washington (1-3) @ New York (N) (2-2) Washington has not laid down for anyone, and when you think of this team with all those draft picks coming on board, it’s encouraging. The Giants have had a tough schedule so far, and finishing 2-2 through these first 4 games isn’t anything to sneeze at. New York simply has too much talent for the Commanders at this point, and should be able to keep pace in that rough NFC East. Washington 17 – New York 27 Las Vegas (1-3) @ San Francisco (3-1) One of my biggest failings in my preseason predictions was thinking that Davis Mills would play more like the PAFL Trubisky rather than the NFL Davis Mills. The first 3 games were tough marches for the Raiders, and now they really need to win this game to avoid falling 3 games out this early in the season. Todd has managed to guide San Fran to some early success, but fell short against the Saints and gave a glimmer of hope to the rest of the AFC West. I think this could be a close one, but in the end, I have to think Chris will find a way to keep this division tight. Las Vegas 27 – San Francisco 24 Seattle (0-4) @ Kansas City (1-3) Both of these teams are looking at high draft picks next year, and are aiming more for the future than they are the present. I think that KC is just thisss much better than the Seahawks, possessing guys who can make plays and score, even though the Chiefs are currently in serious need for CB’s. Some games are destined to be ugly, and this game might just qualify. Seattle 18 – Kansas City 20 Los Angeles (A) (1-3) @ Atlanta (0-4) The Chargers managed to get their first win last week against an undermanned Commanders team, and look to build a winning streak against a Falcon team only averaging 5.8 points so far this season, and the Chargers certainly have the talent to secure their 2nd win and get themselves back in the conversation for the post-season. Los Angeles (A) 28 – Atlanta 10 Arizona (3-1) @ Detroit (3-1) Another game where the records don’t tell the whole story; after a solid thumping at the hands of the Browns that first game, the Cards have managed to win their next 3 to keep pace with the ever-present Rams. Meanwhile, the Lions took care of business the first 3 weeks against rebuilding teams, before taking it on the chin against the Packers last week, though they were only a point behind until the middle of the 4th quarter when the wheels fell off the wagon. Certainly this isn’t a game for Arizona to take lightly, but also is a game that the Cards should be able to extend their winning streak. Arizona 28 – Detroit 21
Posted on 25 Jan 2023 by Joe - Arizona

 

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