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Joe's Week 6 Predictions

   
 
New Orleans (2-3) @ Jacksonville (5-0)
Don has effectively taken himself out of talk for the top overall pick next season, but probably has his work cut out for him trying to keep the Saints out of the basement.  Jacksonville is in a 3-way battle for the AFC East crown, and most likely the top seed come playoff time, so it's hard to imagine Shawn taking this game for granted.  The Jags will be looking to stay perfect in anticipation for their big showdown with Buffalo next week, where the number of unbeaten teams will almost surely go down.   New Orleans 17 - Jacksonville 31
 
   
 
Detroit (3-2) @ Chicago (5-0)
Detroit took advantage of a favorable schedule and shot out of the gates 3-0, but have hit the guardrails the last two weeks, and things won't be any easier going against the defending PAFL champions.  Calvin has his Bears back on auto-pilot, and has won each game by at least double digits so far.  This is a very nice Bowie knife going into battle against a Howitzer, and it may not be all that close unfortunately.   Detroit 21 - Chicago 31
 
   
 
New York (3-2) @ Carolina (1-4)
This is already a rematch from earlier this season, where the Giants had a fairly convincing victory over the Panthers in Week 3; while that game saw New York secure a 17 point win that really wasn't even that close, the Panthers have been playing better as of late, with their upset win against the Cowboys in Week 4 being their signature win.  New York, meanwhile, needed a late 4th quarter TD to avoid their own major upset and stay ahead of Philly in the East.  For better or for worse, it will be Baker leading the charge for the rest of the season in the Meadowlands, and while Panthers are led by Mahomes, it probably won't lead to the upset win though I think the score will be alot closer.   New York 27 - Carolina 24
 
   
 
Tampa Bay (0-5) @ Washington (1-4)
This is a meeting of two teams on the rise in the NFC, probably a year or two away from making real noise in their respective divisions.  On paper, there really isn't alot that separates these two teams, and so it should make for one of the more competitive games this week.  In a game like this, one deciding factor is the starting QB, and while next year Lawrence should be one of the better QB's in the league, he isn't better than Garoppolo this season, so between this and home field, the Commanders have the slightest of edges in my book.   Tampa Bay 23 - Washington 24
 
   
 
Seattle (0-5) @ Cleveland (5-0)
This week is seeing a number of matchups that probably won't be all that close, with this game being Exhibit A.  Cleveland is looking to secure the top seed in the AFC come playoff time, while the Seahawks are well on their way to securing the top spot in next year's rookie draft.  This week doesn't appear to weaken those prospects in the slightest, and should pad a Browns record as they approach crucial division games in the 2nd half of the season.  Seattle 10 - Cleveland 35
 
   
 
Atlanta (0-5) @ Dallas (4-1)
Dallas came back from their upset lost to the Panthers and pulled off the win against the Eagles, though the game wasn't as lop-sided as the score seemed to indicate.  That said, it Dallas kept Philly out of the end zone, and currently sit on top of the tough NFC East, giving themselves a bit of breathing room in the quest to make the playoffs.  The Falcons, on the other hand, have only averaged 7.2 points per game so far, and will probably not be able hold the Cowboys below that; in short, the race for first overall pick should continue on Peach Street this week.  Atlanta 7 - Dallas 31
 
   
 
Cincinnati (4-1) @ Tennessee (2-3)
The Jags held serve and dropped the Bengals from the ranks of the unbeatan last week, with Cincy never quite getting their passing game in order against a Jacksonville defense ranked 2nd in the PAFL.  Tennessee got their season back on track with a convincing win over the Dolphins, where they will need to continue that momentum this week against the Bengals.  The Titans' first 4 games have been brutal, and they certainly have the defense to win this game, it won't be easy.  Tennessee should be looking to get to 3-3 after this game, but I just can't pick against Nino and the Bengals.  Cincinnatti 28 - Tennessee 24
 
   
 
Pittsburgh (1-4) @ Los Angeles (A) (2-3)
After a rough start to the season, the Chargers are now looking at evening their record and getting back into the playoff race against a Steelers team still in the midst of a rebuild. While the Steelers seem to be a head or so above the bottom tier teams, they still have a bit of a journey ahead of them, while the Chargers are looking ahead to a gauntlet of playoff-quality teams over the next 7 weeks, particularly the Eagles next week which could serve as an important tie-breaker for a playoff spot.  Getting this win will put the LA in control of their own destiny, but the next few weeks will tell the story of how successful this season will really be.  Pittsburgh 14 - Los Angeles (A) 27
 
   
 
Indianapolis (2-3) @ Arizona (4-1)
Nobody has probably played a tougher schedule in the early going than the Colts have, with a one score loss by Indy against a Rams team their led by 20 early on.  Meanwhile the Cards managed to keep pace in the NFC West and while the records may be differently, both of these teams are equally capable of garnering the victory.  I know what happens when I pick Arizona to win, so I am going to give the slight edge to the Colts, and hope I manage to somehow score enough against their stacked defense.  Indianapolis 31 - Arizona 28
 
   
San Francisco (3-2) @ Denver (2-3)
That game against the Saints in Week 4 looms large heading into this game, as the 49ers go from 3-0 to 3-2 and needing to right the ship against the Broncos if they want to stay in first.  The 49ers won the first meeting in Week 2 so if they leave this game with a season sweep, they will definitely hold the upper hand against a "surging" Denver squad.  However, if both teams are 3-3 by the end of this game, then Katie bar the door as the battle for the AFC West will probably last until the end of the season.  Don is figuring out how to coach Denver, and on paper, Denver should be able to put up more points...and really, doesn't everyone enjoy a good dogfight when it comes to football?  San Francisco 24 - Denver 28
 
   
 
Minnesota (2-3) @ Green Bay (3-2)
I mentioned during the podcast that the Vikings seem to be a bit down so far this season, and they have; at 2-3, they have a bit of work to do in order to continue their playoff streak.  That work will need to start this week, and one of the teams looking to hold them off is Green Bay.  While most certainly the Packers have had an easier go of it, Green Bay has seemed to be a team that should be in the conversation for the playoffs.  I am going to go with tradition here, and give the nod to Minnesota, getting them back in the middle of the conversation.  Minnesota 28 - Green Bay 24
 
   
 
Miami (1-4) @ Buffalo (5-0)
Miami took a thumping this past week, making me seriously wonder why this would be a close game coming into this season, as Buffalo has put any issues of competitiveness against the Fins in the distant rear view mirror.  Buffalo has dominated their opponents defensively so far this season, and has managed to score without all that much of a sweat by the offense.  All in all, these two teams seem to be on different levels, and I see the Bills keeping pace with Jacksonville and Cleveland leading into their all- important matchup against the Jags next week.  Miami 17 - Buffalo 27
 
   
 
Kansas City (2-3) @ Las Vegas (2-3)
After a convincing win this past week, Vegas is back to clawing their way back to squaring their season and getting back in the playoff hunt.  This is another game that looks even in the standings, though a quick glance through the rosters tells a different story.  Despite a great job of coaching so far this season by Paul, the Raiders just have too many weapons on both sides of the ball, and should be able to even their record and make things very interesting in the West.  Kansas City 21 - Las Vegas 27
 
   
 
Los Angeles (N) (4-1) @ Philadelphia (2-3)
The Main brothers meet in a game that matches the winners of 3 of the last 4 PAFL titles against each other, and sees the Eagles in unfamiliar territory.  A loss by the Eagles means slipping further behind in the East, and causing Philly to contemplate competing with a large contingent of teams for the final wildcard spots.  The Rams have just seemed to be able to pull magic when needed, and keep themselves in familiar territory.  Should be a classic game, but giving the edge ever so slightly to the Rams, whom I've learned not to underestimate.  Los Angeles (N) 28 - Philadelphia 24
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Posted on 02 Feb 2023 by Bears

 

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