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PAFL Week 13 - Write ups

 

   
 
Cleveland (10-2) @ Jacksonville (12-0)
This is the beginning of the brutal stretch run of the season for Jacksonville, where they get to face the Cowboys, Raiders, Bills and the Browns twice.  Even though they are undefeated, the Browns still have control of their own destiny when it comes to the AFC East, though it would require them sweeping the Jags, which would be more than a bit difficult.  I've stated on the record that I think the Browns are the most talented team in the league, and I will stay by that statement; that said, Jacksonville can put any idea a wildcard off the table with a win.  This week, I am going with the Browns to pull off the upset in Jacksonville by the slimmest of margins, and make it a bit more interesting those last 4 weeks.  Cleveland 24 - Jacksonville 23
 
   
 
Minnesota (5-7) @ Detroit (7-5)
Just when you think the Vikings are done, Eric brings them back again!  Last week, they managed to keep the Giants out of the endzone, and finished the game with 19 unanswered points in their upset win over New York, moving them to a game out of the final wild card spot.  This week, they can take out the Lions, who was the main beneficiary of the Giants loss, and more importantly, even their season series against Detroit and move a game closer to a playoff spot.  Calvin has always kept the faith when it comes to Minnesota, and so I will go along for at least a week and give them another upset win and keep that final playoff spot in flux as we wind down the season.  Minnesota 27 - Detroit 21
 
   
 
San Francisco (7-5) @ Cincinnati (10-2)
You know your passing game is on a roll when the other team's QB throws for over 300 yards and you still outgain him in the air by over 230 yards.  San Fran currently sits in the 6th and final playoff spot, but faces a Bengals team still smarting from a come-from-behind loss to the Cardinals.  It would be a shocker not to see Cincy secure a 1st round bye in the playoffs, but this is not a game for the Bengals to take lightly; while I am predicting Cincinnati, I think the pesky 49ers will make it a game that Nino has to play out till the end.  San Francisco 21 - Cincinnati 24
 
   
 
Pittsburgh (3-9) @ Indianapolis (6-6)
Indianapolis has been the bipolar team this year, going from moments of excellence to exasperation, confounding both the league and Bob.  This week, the Colts have an excellent opportunity to get over .500 for just the 2nd time this season with a win over Pittsburgh; that said, the Steelers have been a tough out, but they probably don't have the horses to pull this one out.  Pittsburgh 17 - Indianapolis 27
 
   
 
Tampa Bay (4-8) @ Green Bay (5-7)
It's the Battle of the Bays, but this rematch might take on a different look and feel; Green Bay is almost devoid of skill position players this time around, and while Tampa still needs help there as well, the advantage is not in Green Bay's favor going into this game.  Brendan has done and excellent job rebuilding this team, and I think this is the week where the Bucs get at least into a tie for 4th, which far exceeds where this team has been in recent years.  Tampa Bay 24 - Green Bay 17
 
   
 
Los Angeles (A) (4-8) @ Tennessee (4-8)
One could easily make the case that both of these teams have been snake-bitten, and are contending for the best 4-8 team in the league.  The Chargers gave Chicago all they could handle last week, and nearly pulled off the upset, while Tennessee watched a 14 point lead dissolve in the 4th quarter as Seattle pulled out their first win of the season.  While the records may be the same, the Chargers are playing better ball at this time of the season, and legitimately have a chance of winning out and securing a winning season, should they win this game.  Los Angeles (A) 27 - Tennessee 24
 
   
 
Washington (3-9) @ Philadelphia (9-3)
Washington has had some close games this season and have been very impressive at times during what is a tough season on paper; while they have a crop of young guys ready to come on board, along with another round of rookies picks this fall, they won't be of any use against a Philadelphia team that is on a roll.  Rick is quietly on a 7 game winning streak, and is in position to snag the East should the Cowboys falter.  This game should not knock the Commanders off their perch, as they begin a tough stretch next week, starting with the playoff-bound Bills.  Washington 17 - Philadelphia 27
 
   
 
Carolina (2-10) @ New Orleans (2-10)
This game is so hard to call, mainly because there are so many injuries on both sides that figuring out who will be playing is near impossible.  The Panthers have Mahomes, which is usually the deciding factor, but unless he learns to run routes as well, I'm not sure who is going to benefit from all that talent.  I'm sticking my finger up into the wind and spitballing New Orleans here, mainly because they are the home team, and that's supposed to mean something, even in a game like this.  Carolina 14 - New Orleans 17
 
   
 
Kansas City (2-10) @ Seattle (1-11)
Seattle is on the quest to put together a winning streak as they host the Chiefs this week; last week's upset win over the Titans game tied them with Atlanta for the 1st overall pick with the Falcons, and they have a legit chance to pull off this game as well.  Kansas City has played above their heads this season, and that is the reason I am going to give them a slight edge this week, though it would hardly be shocking to see Seattle further scramble up upcoming draft as much as the playoff picture is.  Kansas City 24 - Seattle 23
 
   
Dallas (10-2) @ New York (N) (6-6)
Dallas just continues their journey to the playoffs, and face a Giants team fully capable of either falling out of the playoff picture or securing a hard won upset.  The Cowboys are injury riddled in their secondary, with only 1 starting-caliber Safety available this week, and the Giants need this win in the worst way.  My guess is the Giants manage to somehow hold back the rushing attack of the Cowboys enough to score enough points to win this game, and keep pace for that last playoff spot.  Dallas 22 - New York (N) 25
 
   
 
Buffalo (10-2) @ Miami (4-8)
Buffalo is in no real danger of missing the playoffs, and they remain a long-shot at winning the AFC East; that said, I don't see the Dolphins being able to score enough points to keep pace with the Bills, as Buffalo has 3 tough games coming up after this one that will do alot to determine their seeding in the post-season, including home field advantage.  Buffalo 28 - Miami 18
 
   
 
Las Vegas (7-5) @ Denver (5-7)
Rudy Gobin is now the 3rd team to coach the Broncos this season, and while he has talent calling plays, he will be doing so against a Raiders team that is stupid good and deep.  Denver has the ability to put up points by the bushel, but the back 7 of Las Vegas is very good, and that will leave Denver having to stop the Raiders to keep pace.  Fatigue and injuries will play a factor, as the running game for Las Vegas will be lacking, so at least there is a chance.  Have to lean towards the Raiders, though I think the Broncos can play it very tough.  Las Vegas 31 - Denver 27
 
   
 
Atlanta (1-11) @ Arizona (9-3)
Arizona managed to sneak past Nino and the Bengals last week, and keep pace with the Rams in the NFC West; this week, they take on the Falcons, where Arizona should find the pickings just a bit easier.  This is Action PC, so no game is a give me, but Atlanta should find it hard to keep up with Arizona, and allow the Cards to keep the pressure on LAR for the division crown.  Atlanta 10 - Arizona 28
 
   
 
Chicago (11-1) @ Los Angeles (N) (9-3)
GOTW, along with Cleveland/Jacksonville.  Chicago can pretty much wrap up the division this week with a win, and go a long way to securing a 1st round bye, while the Rams are looking to secure the West and keep pace with Arizona.  I've learned along the way that picking against Kenny is generally bad, but Chicago has a very good defense that should be able to keep the Brady Bunch at bay, for at least a week.  Even if the Rams do stumble, it still sets up for a Week 16 rematch against Arizona, where the winner will most likely secure the division.  Chicago 27 - Los Angeles (N) 24
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Posted on 23 Mar 2023 by Joe - Arizona

 

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