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The Battle for the #1 Pick

Four teams (Atlanta, Cincinnati, San Diego, Washington), sit at 2 - 14 vying for the #1 overall rookie pick.

Let's begin by reviewing the tie-breaking rules found here (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Football_League_Draft)

Rules for determining draft order
The selection order is based on each team's win–loss record in the previous season and whether the team reached the playoffs. Teams that did not reach the playoffs the previous season are ranked in reverse order of their records (thus the team with the fewest wins is awarded the first selection). Ties between teams with identical records are determined by the following tiebreakers (in order):

1) Strength of schedule, which is the combined win–loss record for all 17 of the team's opponents in the previous season (ties count as a half win and half loss). The team with the lower strength of schedule (i.e. their opponents compiled fewer wins) is granted the earlier pick in round one.

Atlanta and Cincinnati both are tied with a 0.520. San Diego is 0.551 while Washington is 0.590. San Diego will pick 3rd and Washington will pick 4th.

2) If any teams are in the same division, the other playoff tiebreakers will be applied in the specified order.

Not applicable

3) If any teams are in the same conference, the other playoff tiebreakers will be applied in the specified order.

Not applicable

4) If two teams remain from opposing conferences, a series of tiebreakers starting with head-to-head (if one team lost to the other in the previous regular season), win percentage of common games, and strength of victory are applied. Prior to the 2020 NFL Draft, interconference ties were only broken by a coin flip.

Head-to-Head - Atlanta and Cincinnati didn't play
Win percentage in common games - Both have a 0.000 win %
Strength of Victory - Atlanta is 0.125 while Cincinnati is 0.438.

This means Atlanta picks 1st while Cincinnati picks second.

Please verify in case I made a mistake
Posted on 27 Apr 2022 by Bears

 

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