Baltimore's receiving corps has been led by Quez Watkins (73 OVR) — yes, the 73 OVR guy — with 351 yards and 2 TDs. That's either a testament to how well Rob schemes his offense, or a damning indictment of what happens when your top-rated receivers collectively decide to take the scenic route through the stat sheet. Mark Andrews (90 OVR) has 317 yards and 1 TD, which is respectable. Rashod Bateman (84 OVR) adds 309 yards. The passing game works, but it relies heavily on Lamar to carry the creative burden.
Defensive Report: Who Can Actually Stop Whom
Tennessee's defense is led by a secondary that should give Lamar genuine problems. Malik Muhammad (86 OVR CB), L'Jarius Sneed (84 OVR CB), and Rod Moore (85 OVR FS) form a legitimately nasty backend. Up front, Jeffery Simmons (91 OVR) and young Oluwafemi Oladejo (87 OVR) can make blockers look like traffic cones.
Baltimore counters with arguably the single most frightening defensive player in this matchup: Roquan Smith (93 OVR MIKE). The man has 19 tackles, 4 passes defended, and looks like he's personally offended every time a running back dares enter his zip code. Add Jaire Alexander (91 OVR CB), Marlon Humphrey (91 OVR CB), and Kyle Hamilton (91 OVR SS), and this secondary is elite. Pickens and company will not get a free meal.
The Ravens' front seven is sneaky good too. Nnamdi Madubuike (94 OVR DT) is an absolute problem. Cam Ward has been accurate and mostly protected, but if that pocket starts collapsing, things could get ugly in a hurry.
Why Each Team Wins
Tennessee wins if: Cam Ward continues his MVP-level pace and Aljosa finds ways to attack Baltimore's secondary with Pickens and Dike on the outside. Pollard needs to keep punishing a Ravens run defense that, frankly, has surrendered yards in chunks. If Tennessee can control the clock and force Lamar into dropback situations, that secondary should feast on his 5-INT pace.
Tennessee loses if: The offensive line gets overwhelmed by Madubuike and the Ravens front, forcing Ward into uncomfortable situations. Lamar Jackson, if unleashed and properly schemed, is simply unkillable. If he plays like a 96 OVR quarterback — which he is fully capable of — this becomes a very different game.
Baltimore wins if: Lamar cleans up his turnover issues and plays to his astronomical rating. Henry finds lanes and the Ravens keep the chains moving. Smith and Alexander make life miserable for Ward's receivers, and Hamilton causes chaos in coverage. Rob's coaching has Baltimore at 4-1 for a reason — they're a disciplined team that rarely beats itself.
Baltimore loses if: Lamar keeps throwing the ball to the wrong team. Five interceptions through five games is a red flag the size of a Jonas Brothers comeback tour. If Aljosa's defense disguises coverages and baits Lamar into a couple early picks, Tennessee's offense is good enough to make that deficit insurmountable.
The Final Word